Toy Story 4 box office opening weekend results. The Disney Pixar movie top tracking predictions? Did reviews help numbers?
Toy Story 4 box office collection opening weekend underperformed. It fell below expectations and considered a disappointment. toy story 4 box office predictions were $150-$200 million opening weekend.
According to Box Office Mojo Disney and Pixar’s Toy Story 4 topped the weekend box office and did so with the franchise’s largest opening weekend yet. Toy Story 4 box office made an estimated $118 million. However the Disney Pixar Toy Story 4 movie fell well short of the studio’s $140+ million expectations, not to mention Mojo’s lofty weekend forecast. The performance is, however, the best of the franchise, topping Toy Story 3’s $110.3 million opening back in 2010 and fourth largest animated opening ever, which are hardly milestones you can ignore. It’s also worth mentioning this is the third largest opening weekend of the year, giving Disney the top four openings of 2019. Did Aladdin box office hurt Toy Story 4 opening weekend?
Also in Toy Story 4’s favor is some of the best reviews of the franchise to go along with an “A” CinemaScore from opening day audiences. On top of that, the film has a long runaway ahead of it as the next major family film isn’t until July 19 and it is yet another Disney picture in The Lion King. It also isn’t until the mid-August release of Sony’s The Angry Birds Movie 2 that another animated feature hits theaters, giving Toy Story 4 plenty of room to breathe.
To go along with strong reviews and an “A” CinemaScore, the film played to an opening weekend audience that was 52% female and 45% of the crowd was aged 25 or older. Looking at Pixar’s last ten releases, the average multiplier is 3.44x, which would suggest a domestic run for Toy Story 4 over $400 million and looking at the animated studio’s past June releases, that multiplier goes up to 3.56x, suggesting a possible domestic run over $420 million.
Internationally, Toy Story 4 box office collection brought in $120 million form 37 markets, representing ~64% of the overall marketplace and a $238 million global launch. The top market was Mexico, where the film opened with an estimated $23.4 million, representing the third highest opening of all-time in the market behind just Avengers: Endgame and Avengers: Infinity War. From there, the UK was the second largest opening with $15 million followed by China ($13.4m), Brazil ($9.6m), Korea ($8.5m), Argentina ($6.9m) and Australia ($6.1m). The film will open in France and Italy next weekend followed by openings in Japan (Jul 12) and Germany (Aug 15).
According to Forbes, if Toy Story 4 box office legs exactly like Toy Story 3 box office collection, then it gets to $464 million domestic and $1.192 billion worldwide. A run like Cars 2 box office numbers ($191 million from a $66 million debut in 2011) gets the $200 million Pixar flick to $355-$360 million domestic. A run like Incredibles 2 box office ($609 million/$183 million in 2018) and Monsters University ($268 million/$68 million in 2013) still gets it over/under $400 million domestic.